Taken from state by state polling (2 different data sources):
Clinton 237 (290)
McCain 198 (241)
(map #1 here. map #2)
Obama 228 (237)
McCain 237 (290)
(map #1 here. map #2)
Obama starts off much weaker against McCain. But then there's the analysis of the swing states. But why should I do it when someone else has done it so well? Jeralyn at Talk Left has a a post in which he talks about the swing states, but also, and probably more importantly to some, uses articles from William Arnone, long-time Democratic party activist and also has posted his state by state analysis (this is a long and very detailed and in depth reports). (NOTE: You can also find his entire key state series linked from the post.)
Both I and Jeralyn strongly recommend you read Arnone's stuff. It's much better then something my overworked brain could pump out at one in the morning.
nice link, however the 'map #2' links appear to be compilations of mostly old data.
ReplyDeleteoh, and one of the links is broken.
as always,